From now on, whenever I hear or read “most experts believe” used rhetorically, I am going to ask “how many out of how many?” Here is why:
- I do not believe the veracity such claims unless I see actual data backing them up.
- I believe that such a survey of expert opinions is practically impossible due to boundaries of time, location, language, persistence of publishing, and the ephemeral nature of opinions.
- I do not believe there is an equitable or sensible solution as to which votes to count and which to exclude in a survey of expert opinions.
- Such statements are an appeal to authority fallacy if used rhetorically.
In other words, I find it unlikely that anyone can actually authoritatively say “most experts believe” anything, and I think the matter of expert opinion is irrelevant in any case. So why are such rhetorical phrases used so frequently?
Note: This article of mine was previously published on another site.
